Tuesday, June 24, 2008

Consumers May Hurt Tech

Cautious consumers may hinder technology firms in the second half of the year,Dan Niles of Neuberger Berman thinks.Mr.Niles pointed out that housing prices are down 14% year over year,and homeowners won't be able to refinance.As well,the biggest impact of high oil prices hasn't been felt yet.Drivers are taking an extra hit of 450 billion dollars U.S..We don't know how consumer demand for tech products will be,Mr.Niles added.By early July,their tax rebate checks will be spent,so back to school and Christmas sales could be tough.He's constantly talking to Chief Information Officers,and they're ratcheting back their tech purchase plans.It is not a good picture right now.Nonetheless,he sees promise in selected firms,such as MEMC Electronic(WFR),which makes solar wafers;eBay(EBAY),as people are looking for bargains;and Apple(AAPL),which is launching a new iPhone.It's the most defensive in the portfolio Neuberger Berman has been for several years,Mr.Niles noted.

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