Showing posts with label CNBC. Show all posts
Showing posts with label CNBC. Show all posts
Friday, July 19, 2024
Faber Report: Future of Warner Bros. Discovery - YouTube - CNBC - 18 July 2024
with David Faber and Jim Cramer
Based in New York,Warner Bros. Discovery is a multinational media and entertainment conglomerate broadcasting and streaming to more than 220 countries in 50 languages.*Warner Bros Discovery (WBD)
Thursday, June 13, 2024
Jeffrey Gundlach Fed Day - CNBC Closing Bell - 12 June 2024
with Scott Wapner,Steve Liesman and Jeffrey Gundlach,founder,CEO and Chief Investment Officer of DoubleLine Capital LP
The interview took place in DoubleLine's Los Angeles office.The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged at its June meeting.Mr.Gundlach is predicting a recession and is less sure the Federal Reserve will make even one interest rate cut this year.He currently likes investing in gold and India.DoubleLine has a range of mutual funds,closed end funds,exchange traded funds and UCITS.UCITS is a European Union regulatory framework for trading mutual funds.
Based in Tampa,Florida,DoubleLine is majority employee owned and employs 248.Oaktree Capital Mangement owns a 20% stake in the firm.
Tuesday, April 18, 2023
Thursday, November 3, 2022
Tuesday, November 1, 2022
Tuesday, October 18, 2022
Wednesday, August 31, 2022
Monday, August 29, 2022
Friday, August 26, 2022
Thursday, August 25, 2022
Wednesday, August 24, 2022
Monday, February 12, 2018
Monday, January 4, 2016
As Market Falls,Fed Banker Explains China Slowdown,US Prospects-plus how many rate hikes in 2016
A slowdown in Chinese manufacturing in December,coupled with fears of intensifying conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia,left global markets in a tailspin Monday.The Caixin/Markit China Manufacturing PMI fell to 48.2 in December from November's 48.6,the 10th straight monthly decline.A reading below 50 indicates contraction of the sector.The Reuters consensus estimate for December was 49.0.In response to the China index and the exogenous event in the Middle East,the S&P 500 Index fell 31.28,or 1.53%.Opinions on Wall Street were split over how significant the slippage was for the 2016 outlook.*
For San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President John Williams,who spoke to CNBC at the American Economic Association annual conference,it's important to realise China is undergoing a pivot to slower growth,and a pivot away from manufacturing to the consumer sector.I think this is an ongoing process that China is going through,Mr.Williams said.We realise we're in a global economy and we're affected by it.The Chinese stock market is not a major concern as far as systemic risk right now.What we need to do is,focus on maximum employment and price stability.We're focused on the attainment of our objectives.*
We're in very good shape.Unemployment is at 5% and GDP growth is a little over 2%.We're a little ahead of the pack in getting back to full employment and on a sustainable path.Where we're being hit hard is on our net exports,a significant part of our economy.Inflation is one thing we're still struggling to get up to our goal of 2%.We're on a pace to add continued job gains.That's very positive for the economy-a growth path of 2-2.5 GDP and unemployment edging back down to 5%.*
There are always unforeseen events:the dollar,oil prices.I have a medium-term outlook.I want to focus on what's happening over the next 2-5 years.I'm not concerned about the ups and downs of market moves.We have a capitalist system and that's what happens.We're on a growth course that would lead to 3-5 Fed rate hikes in 2016,Mr.Williams projected.
For San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President John Williams,who spoke to CNBC at the American Economic Association annual conference,it's important to realise China is undergoing a pivot to slower growth,and a pivot away from manufacturing to the consumer sector.I think this is an ongoing process that China is going through,Mr.Williams said.We realise we're in a global economy and we're affected by it.The Chinese stock market is not a major concern as far as systemic risk right now.What we need to do is,focus on maximum employment and price stability.We're focused on the attainment of our objectives.*
We're in very good shape.Unemployment is at 5% and GDP growth is a little over 2%.We're a little ahead of the pack in getting back to full employment and on a sustainable path.Where we're being hit hard is on our net exports,a significant part of our economy.Inflation is one thing we're still struggling to get up to our goal of 2%.We're on a pace to add continued job gains.That's very positive for the economy-a growth path of 2-2.5 GDP and unemployment edging back down to 5%.*
There are always unforeseen events:the dollar,oil prices.I have a medium-term outlook.I want to focus on what's happening over the next 2-5 years.I'm not concerned about the ups and downs of market moves.We have a capitalist system and that's what happens.We're on a growth course that would lead to 3-5 Fed rate hikes in 2016,Mr.Williams projected.
Monday, December 21, 2015
Oil Prices Drop To Milestone Lows - when will this end?
Brent crude bottomed out at 36.05 in early trading Monday,its lowest level in 11 years,before recovering slightly.In the US,the energy sector is the worst performer in the S&P 500 Index,down more than 20% year to date.A perfect storm of ample supply,a mild autumn and mild early winter outlook,and the coming back to market of Iranian,Libyan and US oil exports is driving oil prices down to bedrock levels.In parts of the US,this has allowed the price of gasoline to slip to 1.53 a gallon in Owasso,Oklahoma.*
Mid-term,however,Lukoil CEO Vagit Aleperov told CNBC,prices may rise to 40-50 dollars a barrel in 2016 as exploration cutbacks during the downturn take hold and start to reduce supply.Near term,we would need OPEC to move in order to support prices.The US lifting its ban on oil exports will simply lead to US prices equalling Brent prices.
Lukoil stock rose 11.60 rubles,up 0.50% in Monday trading.*
LKOH:PJSC Lukoil (MICEX)
Mid-term,however,Lukoil CEO Vagit Aleperov told CNBC,prices may rise to 40-50 dollars a barrel in 2016 as exploration cutbacks during the downturn take hold and start to reduce supply.Near term,we would need OPEC to move in order to support prices.The US lifting its ban on oil exports will simply lead to US prices equalling Brent prices.
Lukoil stock rose 11.60 rubles,up 0.50% in Monday trading.*
LKOH:PJSC Lukoil (MICEX)
Monday, December 14, 2015
A Warning To High Yield Investors From Billionaire Carl Icahn
Billionaire activist investor Carl Icahn tweeted that a meltdown in high yield was just beginning.For example,Third Avenue Management is liquidating its Focused Credit Fund and preventing withdrawals,promising to distribute the bulk of investors' money on 16 December,and put the rest in a trust that will pay them interest and make distributions to them until its liquidation costs are covered.The fund was liquidated because so many investors were redeeming their shares at once,Third Avenue said in a letter to the fund's investors.*
We did have that Seeking Alpha conference,Mr.Icahn told CNBC.I warned then it's simple and self-evident that the high yield market is just a keg of dynamite that sooner or later will blow up.The etfs of BlackRock and other companies are very dangerous because there's no liquidity behind these etfs.I think that any person that goes into this should basically be warned.You're starting to see the danger that is manifest now that there is no liquidity for these high yield bonds.They were sold at very low interest rates.Because it's BlackRock,everybody believes there's going to be liquidity.
It's just beginning to be a major problem.The SEC sees danger because these companies that really should have had to pay higher interest rates borrowed a great deal of money,and I'd like to know how they're going to pay that back,or even how they're going to restructure the finances,Mr.Icahn explained.
We did have that Seeking Alpha conference,Mr.Icahn told CNBC.I warned then it's simple and self-evident that the high yield market is just a keg of dynamite that sooner or later will blow up.The etfs of BlackRock and other companies are very dangerous because there's no liquidity behind these etfs.I think that any person that goes into this should basically be warned.You're starting to see the danger that is manifest now that there is no liquidity for these high yield bonds.They were sold at very low interest rates.Because it's BlackRock,everybody believes there's going to be liquidity.
It's just beginning to be a major problem.The SEC sees danger because these companies that really should have had to pay higher interest rates borrowed a great deal of money,and I'd like to know how they're going to pay that back,or even how they're going to restructure the finances,Mr.Icahn explained.
Monday, November 30, 2015
The Complex Landscape of Holiday Shopping
It's clear that holiday shopping is no longer greatly concentrated on specific days such as Black Friday or Cyber Monday;but is rather a rolling phenomenon beginning after Halloween,with surge points to be sure,but not as pronounced as in the past.A lot of this is due to the proliferation of mobile devices and the ascendance of digital commerce in general.
Over Thanksgiving weekend,103 million consumers shopped online versus 102 million at brick-and-mortar stores,Prosper Insights&Analytics reported to the National Retail Federation.ComScore reported that digital sales on Thanksgiving Day and Black Friday totaled four billion dollars,up 20% on the year,and with desktop and mobile bringing in 25% of all sales.Brick-and-mortar sales for the same two days fell a bit on the year to 12.1 billion.
Hudson's Bay Co. CEO Gerald Storch told CNBC that the Thanksgiving period was a pretty good weekend.In North America,Hudson's Bay owns upscale department stores such as Lord&Taylor and Saks Fifth Avenue,as well as their associated outlet stores.
On the negative side of digital,online glitches,especially on mobile,are common bugbears and can devastate a retailer's sales figures as impatient consumers bolt for the exits.A lack of enough machines to handle unexpectedly high traffic or new and complex site construction can lead to this pitfall.
Much of the Internet sales was by retailers practicing omnichannel retailing,coordinating their online and in-store business,Mr.Storch said.Although mobile is growing rapidly,many consumers either do not own appropriate phones or just enjoy the Black Friday in-store experience,keeping brick-and-mortar stores relevant even as online purchases grow.*
Macy's (M),Nordstrom Inc (JWN),Hudson's Bay Co (TSX:HBC),(PINX:HBAYF),Amazon (AMZN)
Over Thanksgiving weekend,103 million consumers shopped online versus 102 million at brick-and-mortar stores,Prosper Insights&Analytics reported to the National Retail Federation.ComScore reported that digital sales on Thanksgiving Day and Black Friday totaled four billion dollars,up 20% on the year,and with desktop and mobile bringing in 25% of all sales.Brick-and-mortar sales for the same two days fell a bit on the year to 12.1 billion.
Hudson's Bay Co. CEO Gerald Storch told CNBC that the Thanksgiving period was a pretty good weekend.In North America,Hudson's Bay owns upscale department stores such as Lord&Taylor and Saks Fifth Avenue,as well as their associated outlet stores.
On the negative side of digital,online glitches,especially on mobile,are common bugbears and can devastate a retailer's sales figures as impatient consumers bolt for the exits.A lack of enough machines to handle unexpectedly high traffic or new and complex site construction can lead to this pitfall.
Much of the Internet sales was by retailers practicing omnichannel retailing,coordinating their online and in-store business,Mr.Storch said.Although mobile is growing rapidly,many consumers either do not own appropriate phones or just enjoy the Black Friday in-store experience,keeping brick-and-mortar stores relevant even as online purchases grow.*
Macy's (M),Nordstrom Inc (JWN),Hudson's Bay Co (TSX:HBC),(PINX:HBAYF),Amazon (AMZN)
Monday, November 16, 2015
McDonald's Catches Up With Consumer,Industry Trends
We serve the vast majority of the population in all our markets,McDonald's CEO Steve Easterbrook,who is British,told CNBC.There are some who come in for a burger,but we can also innovate at the premium end of the menu.What we're seeing is,incremental purchase of all day breakfast food.It's growing margins and generating a lot of enthusiasm amongst our customers and out team.We have very ambitious plans in tech and across the whole area of helping to make consumers' lives more convenient and more fun.*
In relation to McDonald's as a company,we made the conscious decision to go one dollar above the minimum wage.With health care inflation,it's tough.That's why we've got to increase the bottom line.We're seeing a reduction in crew turnover.That improves the customer experience.*
We're going to cage-free eggs in the US.It's going to take us 10 years to get there because of supply.We use two billion eggs a year.*
Our owner-operators are wonderful,an animated bunch that helps us make the decisions,and we help them make their decisions.When we took the all day breakfast,we got a 98% approval by the owner-operators.Traditional industries are being transformed,and we should not be blind to that.We have a 1+ billion dollar delivery business in Asia.We are building up our digital programme to offer more ordering and payment options and customer loyalty programmes.A number of our regions have been selling mozzarella sticks and they do sell well,Mr.Easterbrook observed.*
McDonald's (MCD)
In relation to McDonald's as a company,we made the conscious decision to go one dollar above the minimum wage.With health care inflation,it's tough.That's why we've got to increase the bottom line.We're seeing a reduction in crew turnover.That improves the customer experience.*
We're going to cage-free eggs in the US.It's going to take us 10 years to get there because of supply.We use two billion eggs a year.*
Our owner-operators are wonderful,an animated bunch that helps us make the decisions,and we help them make their decisions.When we took the all day breakfast,we got a 98% approval by the owner-operators.Traditional industries are being transformed,and we should not be blind to that.We have a 1+ billion dollar delivery business in Asia.We are building up our digital programme to offer more ordering and payment options and customer loyalty programmes.A number of our regions have been selling mozzarella sticks and they do sell well,Mr.Easterbrook observed.*
McDonald's (MCD)
Monday, September 14, 2015
Will the Fed Move This Week - and what should investors do?
Can the economy deal with a Federal Reserve interest rate hike at this week's Federal Open Market Committee meeting?Yes,the economy can support an 0.25% increase,but we don't think there will be one,Andrew Burkly of Oppenheimer&Co. told CNBC.To me,the risk is essentially longer,not sooner.We're leaning more to a rate increase in the latter part of the year.The sector I like for investing in from all this is the financials.*
The options market suggests that this week's FOMC meeting could be potentially one of the most volatile that we've seen in years,added Stacy Gilbert of Susquehanna Capital Group.We have seen an increase in what I call "crash protection,"and we haven't seen this increase of crash protection over the last couple of years.This is one of the biggest increases that we've seen.
The S&P 500 options are pricing in a stock market move of about 2.25% for a one day move,which prior to the past couple of weeks would have been a notable move in the S&P 500,and something that we haven't seen relative to the Fed in quite a while.So I think there's a lot of uncertainty out there.The markets are pricing this in as a notable event,and portfolio managers and investors are looking at their portfolios saying "What if?I want to be able to sleep at night."*
The Fed's decision will be released on Thursday.Whenever the rate increase comes,it will be the first one since 2006.The US economics team at Morgan Stanley thinks a hawkish pass by the Fed is a 60% probability.In other words,the Fed would pass on a September rate liftoff,citing the recent tightening in financial conditions;while leaving open the possibility of an increase at the October or December FOMC meetings.*
Morgan Stanley (MS),Oppenheimer Holdings Inc (OPY),Susquehanna Bancshares Inc (SUSQ)
The options market suggests that this week's FOMC meeting could be potentially one of the most volatile that we've seen in years,added Stacy Gilbert of Susquehanna Capital Group.We have seen an increase in what I call "crash protection,"and we haven't seen this increase of crash protection over the last couple of years.This is one of the biggest increases that we've seen.
The S&P 500 options are pricing in a stock market move of about 2.25% for a one day move,which prior to the past couple of weeks would have been a notable move in the S&P 500,and something that we haven't seen relative to the Fed in quite a while.So I think there's a lot of uncertainty out there.The markets are pricing this in as a notable event,and portfolio managers and investors are looking at their portfolios saying "What if?I want to be able to sleep at night."*
The Fed's decision will be released on Thursday.Whenever the rate increase comes,it will be the first one since 2006.The US economics team at Morgan Stanley thinks a hawkish pass by the Fed is a 60% probability.In other words,the Fed would pass on a September rate liftoff,citing the recent tightening in financial conditions;while leaving open the possibility of an increase at the October or December FOMC meetings.*
Morgan Stanley (MS),Oppenheimer Holdings Inc (OPY),Susquehanna Bancshares Inc (SUSQ)
Monday, August 31, 2015
Investing in Volatile Times
When you see this level of volatility,you don't get confident;you get nervous,said CNBC host and master investor Jim Cramer.I think oil's going to be lower longer.It isn't going to be positive.*
Do you like something more because billionaire activist investor Carl Icahn's in it?Yes,you do.He's taken a stake in miner Freeport-McMoran.Freeport's run more like a private company.*
One billion users logged into Facebook on Monday 24 August.Social media is the way to go.Who is social media?Google and Facebook.Link with someone who has a lot of followers,and your business goes up.It just works.I look at Facebook and I think,what an unbelievable business.Do thy have to pay the NBA for rights?What a marvelous business model.*
I'm a believer in Disney and its CEO Bob Iger.You do have "Star Wars,"which is very big.You do have theme parks.I'm still a believer in what Bob Iger's doing,Mr.Cramer repeated.*
Freeport-McMoRan (FPT),Facebook (FB),Google (GOOG),Walt Disney (DIS)
Do you like something more because billionaire activist investor Carl Icahn's in it?Yes,you do.He's taken a stake in miner Freeport-McMoran.Freeport's run more like a private company.*
One billion users logged into Facebook on Monday 24 August.Social media is the way to go.Who is social media?Google and Facebook.Link with someone who has a lot of followers,and your business goes up.It just works.I look at Facebook and I think,what an unbelievable business.Do thy have to pay the NBA for rights?What a marvelous business model.*
I'm a believer in Disney and its CEO Bob Iger.You do have "Star Wars,"which is very big.You do have theme parks.I'm still a believer in what Bob Iger's doing,Mr.Cramer repeated.*
Freeport-McMoRan (FPT),Facebook (FB),Google (GOOG),Walt Disney (DIS)
Monday, August 17, 2015
Tesla Motors;Toyota Motors;Cambia Portland Classic
Morgan Stanley has raised the price target for Tesla Motors stock to 465.00 from 280.00.They believe Tesla may triple its revenue by 2029.*
I think that Morgan Stanley,did you need to be that excessive?asked CNBC host and master investor Jim Cramer.It's cynical to use these price targets,telling the shorts they need to cover like that.
The Empire State manufacturing report-it's terrible,Cramer noted.The factories are doing not that well.*
Meanwhile,Toyota Motors is taking a hit from the chemical blast tragedy in Tianjin,China,which killed at least 117 and injured untold others,including 50 Toyota workers.Three of Toyota's production lines will be idled through at least 19 August because of the Tianjin evacuation.
Tianjin is the company's biggest production hub in China,and more than a three-day delay could have a material affect on the business.*
Canadian Brooke Henderson,17,won her first LPGA tournament at the Cambia Portland Classic in Oregon Sunday.She mastered the Columbia Edgewater Country Club course with an eight-stroke victory,providing relief to fans disappointed by Canadian golfers' scarce wins in recent years.*
Tesla Motors (TSLA),Toyota Motors (TM)
I think that Morgan Stanley,did you need to be that excessive?asked CNBC host and master investor Jim Cramer.It's cynical to use these price targets,telling the shorts they need to cover like that.
The Empire State manufacturing report-it's terrible,Cramer noted.The factories are doing not that well.*
Meanwhile,Toyota Motors is taking a hit from the chemical blast tragedy in Tianjin,China,which killed at least 117 and injured untold others,including 50 Toyota workers.Three of Toyota's production lines will be idled through at least 19 August because of the Tianjin evacuation.
Tianjin is the company's biggest production hub in China,and more than a three-day delay could have a material affect on the business.*
Canadian Brooke Henderson,17,won her first LPGA tournament at the Cambia Portland Classic in Oregon Sunday.She mastered the Columbia Edgewater Country Club course with an eight-stroke victory,providing relief to fans disappointed by Canadian golfers' scarce wins in recent years.*
Tesla Motors (TSLA),Toyota Motors (TM)
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