We've already hit the 2011 low,according to JP Morgan's chief U.S. equity strategist Thomas H. Lee.By year's end,he expects to see the S&P at 1425.He likes the materials,industrial and energy sectors.Avoid stocks sensitive to oil prices.There will be moderate to severe disruption to supply chains in tech because of the Japan disaster.
Near term,Q1 earnings are really gonna be a support for markets.Markets may be troubled from June to September,rangebound because of the expiration of the Federal Reserve's QE 2 support program.The housing market will improve,however,driving the S&P higher by the end of 2011.
Equity market rallies are really driven by corporate profit recoveries.Investors are buying the dips because they're under-exposed.In the financial sector,we've seen improvement in credit trends,but not demand,Mr.Lee added.
In addition to his JP Morgan post,Thomas H. Lee is Chairman and CEO of Thomas H. Lee Partners,L.P.A 1965 Harvard graduate,he is a trustee of Rockefeller and Brandeis Universities.Mr. Lee is also a director of the Lincoln Center for the Performing Arts.
JP Morgan Chase(JPM)
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